入替中率表

官方在三周年之际终于标明了4星中率

其实和之前各种抽卡的研究所的结论差不多，5星活动对于入替中率的提升还是颇有效果的

中率大概是包括入替的16个角色平分4星的10%中率，然后入替平分5星的1%中率。

这次中率计算中考虑5星活动，按照双入替和三入替来区分计算。

计算基础：

双入替单人的中率：10%/16+1%/2=1.125%

双入替总中率：10%*2/16+1%=2.25%

三入替单人的中率：10%/16+1%/3=0.958%

三入替总中率：10%*3/16+1%=2.875%

中率表（取百分比小数点后一位，抽齐中率算法未完全确定，仅供参考）：

十连数	双入替单点	双入替随意	三入替单点	三入替随意	双入替抽齐	三入替抽齐
1	11.7%	22.1%	10.1%	27.4%	1.4%	0.1%
2	22.0%	39.4%	19.1%	47.4%	4.9%	0.7%
3	31.2%	52.8%	27.2%	61.8%	9.7%	2.0%
4	39.2%	63.3%	34.5%	72.3%	15.4%	4.1%
5	46.3%	71.4%	41.1%	79.9%	21.5%	7.0%
6	52.6%	77.7%	47.0%	85.4%	27.7%	10.4%
7	58.2%	82.7%	52.4%	89.4%	33.8%	14.4%
8	63.1%	86.5%	57.1%	92.3%	39.8%	18.7%
9	67.4%	89.5%	61.5%	94.4%	45.4%	23.2%
10	71.2%	91.8%	65.3%	96.0%	50.7%	27.9%
11	74.6%	93.6%	68.8%	97.1%	55.6%	32.6%
12	77.5%	95.0%	71.9%	97.9%	60.1%	37.2%
13	80.2%	96.1%	74.8%	98.5%	64.3%	41.8%
14	82.5%	97.0%	77.3%	98.9%	68.0%	46.2%
15	84.5%	97.7%	79.6%	99.2%	71.5%	50.4%
16	86.3%	98.2%	81.6%	99.4%	74.6%	54.4%
17	87.9%	98.6%	83.5%	99.6%	77.3%	58.2%
18	89.4%	98.9%	85.1%	99.7%	79.8%	61.7%
19	90.6%	99.1%	86.6%	99.8%	82.1%	65.0%
20	91.7%	99.3%	88.0%	99.8%	84.1%	68.1%
21	92.7%	99.5%	89.2%	99.9%	85.9%	70.9%
22	93.5%	99.6%	90.3%	99.9%	87.5%	73.6%
23	94.3%	99.7%	91.3%	99.9%	88.9%	76.0%
24	95.0%	99.8%	92.1%	100.0%	90.2%	78.2%
25	95.5%	99.8%	92.9%	100.0%	91.3%	80.2%
26	96.1%	99.9%	93.6%	100.0%	92.3%	82.1%
27	96.5%	99.9%	94.3%	100.0%	93.2%	83.8%
28	96.9%	99.9%	94.8%	100.0%	94.0%	85.3%
29	97.3%	99.9%	95.4%	100.0%	94.7%	86.7%
30	97.6%	99.9%	95.8%	100.0%	95.3%	88.0%

中率图：

结论：

○5星活动对入替中率提升很有帮助，尤其是双入替，中率涨了80%（1.25%->2.25%）。

○1500钻一个入替都抽不到的概率有22%和15%，讲真还是挺高了，所以再别说什么1500钻只抽到了XXX之类的话了。

○第一版抽完，也就是2500钻，抽不到特定入替的概率是29%和35%,在三分之一左右了，所以其实没抽到特定角色挺正常的。

○就算是抽完第二版，也就是5000钻，抽齐入替的概率也只有84%和68%，同样的，2000钻没抽齐的哭黑就免了吧。