入替中率表

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官方在三周年之际终于标明了4星中率

其实和之前各种抽卡的研究所的结论差不多,5星活动对于入替中率的提升还是颇有效果的

中率大概是包括入替的16个角色平分4星的10%中率,然后入替平分5星的1%中率。

这次中率计算中考虑5星活动,按照双入替和三入替来区分计算。


计算基础:

双入替单人的中率:10%/16+1%/2=1.125%

双入替总中率:10%*2/16+1%=2.25%


三入替单人的中率:10%/16+1%/3=0.958%

三入替总中率:10%*3/16+1%=2.875%


中率表(取百分比小数点后一位,抽齐中率算法未完全确定,仅供参考):

十连数 双入替单点 双入替随意 三入替单点 三入替随意 双入替抽齐 三入替抽齐
1 11.7% 22.1% 10.1% 27.4% 1.4% 0.1%
2 22.0% 39.4% 19.1% 47.4% 4.9% 0.7%
3 31.2% 52.8% 27.2% 61.8% 9.7% 2.0%
4 39.2% 63.3% 34.5% 72.3% 15.4% 4.1%
5 46.3% 71.4% 41.1% 79.9% 21.5% 7.0%
6 52.6% 77.7% 47.0% 85.4% 27.7% 10.4%
7 58.2% 82.7% 52.4% 89.4% 33.8% 14.4%
8 63.1% 86.5% 57.1% 92.3% 39.8% 18.7%
9 67.4% 89.5% 61.5% 94.4% 45.4% 23.2%
10 71.2% 91.8% 65.3% 96.0% 50.7% 27.9%
11 74.6% 93.6% 68.8% 97.1% 55.6% 32.6%
12 77.5% 95.0% 71.9% 97.9% 60.1% 37.2%
13 80.2% 96.1% 74.8% 98.5% 64.3% 41.8%
14 82.5% 97.0% 77.3% 98.9% 68.0% 46.2%
15 84.5% 97.7% 79.6% 99.2% 71.5% 50.4%
16 86.3% 98.2% 81.6% 99.4% 74.6% 54.4%
17 87.9% 98.6% 83.5% 99.6% 77.3% 58.2%
18 89.4% 98.9% 85.1% 99.7% 79.8% 61.7%
19 90.6% 99.1% 86.6% 99.8% 82.1% 65.0%
20 91.7% 99.3% 88.0% 99.8% 84.1% 68.1%
21 92.7% 99.5% 89.2% 99.9% 85.9% 70.9%
22 93.5% 99.6% 90.3% 99.9% 87.5% 73.6%
23 94.3% 99.7% 91.3% 99.9% 88.9% 76.0%
24 95.0% 99.8% 92.1% 100.0% 90.2% 78.2%
25 95.5% 99.8% 92.9% 100.0% 91.3% 80.2%
26 96.1% 99.9% 93.6% 100.0% 92.3% 82.1%
27 96.5% 99.9% 94.3% 100.0% 93.2% 83.8%
28 96.9% 99.9% 94.8% 100.0% 94.0% 85.3%
29 97.3% 99.9% 95.4% 100.0% 94.7% 86.7%
30 97.6% 99.9% 95.8% 100.0% 95.3% 88.0%

中率图:

Wcat1.jpg
Wcat2.jpg

结论:

○5星活动对入替中率提升很有帮助,尤其是双入替,中率涨了80%(1.25%->2.25%)。

○1500钻一个入替都抽不到的概率有22%和15%,讲真还是挺高了,所以再别说什么1500钻只抽到了XXX之类的话了。

○第一版抽完,也就是2500钻,抽不到特定入替的概率是29%和35%,在三分之一左右了,所以其实没抽到特定角色挺正常的。

○就算是抽完第二版,也就是5000钻,抽齐入替的概率也只有84%和68%,同样的,2000钻没抽齐的哭黑就免了吧。